लंदन वार्ता: नई विश्व व्यवस्था لندن وارتا: نیا عالمی نظام - In a hard-hitting interview on the Cine Ink podcast London Varta: New World Order, renowned Pakistani-British military analyst and...
लंदन वार्ता: नई विश्व व्यवस्था لندن وارتا: نیا عالمی نظام – In a hard-hitting interview on the Cine Ink podcast London Varta: New World Order, renowned Pakistani-British military analyst and academic Dr Ayesha Siddiqa (King’s College London) delivers a sharp assessment of the emerging US-Iran understanding, warning that it has inadvertently strengthened the very regime Washington sought to weaken. She is in conversation with broadcaster Pervaiz Alam.
Key Breaking Points:
Trump’s Deal vs Obama’s JCPOA: Dr Siddiqa agrees with critics that the current arrangement falls well short of the 2015 JCPOA, which had verifiable limits on uranium enrichment and international oversight. She notes the present focus is narrowly on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with nuclear issues deferred.
Israel Deeply Unhappy: The strongest opposition comes from the Israeli lobby and political class. Whether Netanyahu stays or not, Israel is unwilling to reduce its defence posture against Hamas and Hezbollah. Crucially, Israel is not even at the negotiating table, yet the deal directly affects its security.
Iran Emerges Stronger: Siddiqa argues that despite US bombing and leadership decapitation attempts, the Iranian regime has been politically re-stabilised. Protests by women and young people challenging the regime have been pushed back. In effect, Donald Trump has given Iran a major strategic victory it could not have achieved on its own.
Declining Global Support for Israel: Public opinion surveys show sharp drops in support for Israel in the US (especially among younger Jewish Americans), Europe, and much of the Global North. Only a few countries, including India, still show relatively high favourability.
China’s Quiet Role: Beijing’s back-channel diplomacy and strategic interest in secure energy routes through the region helped prevent the collapse of the Iranian regime.
Dr Siddiqa concludes that big powers are learning the limits of military intervention when local populations resist, drawing parallels with the US withdrawal from Afghanistan.
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